"A government which robs
Peter to pay Paul can always depend upon the support of Paul."
George
Bernard Shaw
I'll flat-out admit that I wish
I could avoid talking about Social Security, because it's such a hot-button
subject and tends to polarize what could perhaps be rational thought.
Most political aspirants avoid the topic, save to say that they are
for it. We are all for it, but have done precious little to preserve
or protect it.
I don't pretend a solution, it's too
complicated for an easy answer, but that complexity has held us back from
debate for too many decades. Those who have the forum to suggest,
in succeeding administrations, have been too willing to postpone that
responsibility in the knowledge that SS won't fail during their administration.
When SS was enacted over fifty years
ago, there were nearly 160 persons working and paying into the system
for every recipient. That number eroded in the first decade
to sixteen-to-one and has further declined to three-to-one at the present
time, an insupportable relationship of inequity between those paying and
those paid.
The fact is, the system's headed for
the wall and no one is willing to face up to it. Just so long as
it doesn't happen during their term, Washington can be depended
upon to hide its head. And yet there's time, if they want to do
something, but not a whole lot of time. Congress should have faced
a growing imbalance twenty years ago, when the bottom was falling out
of the worker base. Instead, they increased contribution rates,
requiring working citizens and their employers to shoulder a skyrocketing
burden.
The first part of my suggestion is
to face up to what's wrong with the present system. We pay
retirees from current income. The guy who draws a check gets his
money immediately from what is withheld from you now. In order to
work properly, that requires a large work force and a small retired group,
which we had at the inception of SS. But America's getting older
and there's a smaller and smaller number of people working to support
a larger and larger group of retirees. You'll probably get yours
if you're nearing fifty and I'll probably get mine, but we need to properly
fund the system on an endowment basis, allowing the energy of compound
interest to multiply SS taxes over a lifetime of contribution.
A system where your money, the money
you put into the system over the years and the money your employer puts
in on your behalf will be earmarked for your retirement and no one else's.
What turns small amounts of money
into large amounts of money is time and compounded interest on that money
over time. Compounded interest over time is how ten dollars turns
into a hundred dollars, even at low interest rates, particularly when
that time is measured measured in the forty years or so of a working life.
If the money you'd put into the system had been working as long as you
have, there'd be a very substantial income for you at sixty-five, instead
of the bare subsistence of Social Security.
It wasn't done that way in the first
place because it was enacted as an immediate benefit and the worker-retiree
ratio seemed to make sense in the days before computers could accurately
model unlimited future scenarios. In large part for political considerations,
all retirement-age citizens got it immediately after the legislation was
passed and it was funded with current withholding and left that way, never
adjusted. That's why the tax rate and the base salary upon which
the rate is figured has kept going up, because it was never the right
time to fix it. Succeeding congresses knew it wouldn't fail during
their term in office. Now the younger congressmen and senators see
their own benefits at risk and are hearing from a growing constituency
of young voters, who are unwilling to be left holding the bag.
Improving the system evokes a good
deal of fear and finger-pointing today, the right time was twenty years
ago, but this is probably the last chance we've got. Even
so, if Congress were to endorse an endowment-based system, how will they
pay the people on Social Security now? More to the point, how will
they pay you and me? That's always been a sticking point and
primarily why nothing's ever been done, that and the fact it's largely
encouraged in Washington to shrug off increasing debt.
In 1993, when a scandal broke over
unfunded corporate liabilities to private pension funds approaching 50
billion dollars, the federal government screamed and a catch-up began
to follow. Yet the unfunded liability of SS amounts to 12 trillion
dollars, 2,400 times as great a debt and little is heard, nothing done.
Our children and their children are relied upon to fill that gap.
I agree that we can't suddenly change
SS to an endowment based system, because that will provide no funds for
current retirees. So that's out and it can't be left the way it
is or there'll be nothing remaining for the current contributors who are
supporting us. So that's out too.
What we can do is wean the country
off the cash system over a period of time, say twenty years. It'll
be tough and it'll cause periodic shortfalls, but it's possible and seems
to me to be the only reasonable direction.
Right now and at this very moment,
due to its huge contribution rate, Social Security is producing a surplus.
The congress, in their short-termed wisdom is making no strategic use
of those funds. While that surplus exists, we have the opportunity to
wean ourselves at say five percent a year to an endowment-based system.
In twenty years, or whatever period
of time is negotiated, we will find ourselves one hundred percent endowment-based
and out of the woods, future generations secure. In the meantime,
we would have to patch together a hybrid retirement program, some part
of the money from current cash and a slowly increasing balance endowment-based.
In any event, the necessary course is to begin the journey away from current-contribution
retirement benefits. Not exactly a picnic, but possible to
accomplish.
On the plus side, there are some really
important side benefits, if you don't consider getting the system standing
on its own feet benefit enough.
Social Security as it now exists doesn't
produce anything except a growing liability, one that will get so huge
it finally tips over. An endowment-based system will produce an
enormous capital base in actual saved money, money in government securities
or other guaranteed investments that will be available for use, just as
your money in the bank is available. Money to fund capital needs,
such as factories and homes, money that we don't have to borrow from foreign
investors.
America is the most savings poor of
all developed countries. An endowment-based Social Security system
will go a long way to cure that irrational circumstance. It will
make secure your retirement and mine . . . more importantly, make secure
the retirement futures of our children and grandchildren.
Additionally, there's the cost of
what we're doing now, the incredible cost. At upper earning levels,
contributors kick in over two hundred a month towards Social Security
and their employer matches that. That number is rapidly increasing
with no end in sight. In the case of the self-employed, they pay
both ends, a doubling of contribution that buys a benefit at retirement
of maybe a thousand a month.
Over four hundred a month to buy a
thousand. You wouldn't go near an insurance policy like that with
a dozen ten foot poles. You'd laugh your way out of the agent's
office and yet we benignly accept it, like there's no choice.
There is a choice and over a lifetime
of work, even at a measly three percent return, you will be able to secure
an increased benefit for a hell of a lot less all by yourself. Or
share it with your employer for half of a hell of a lot less.
Social Security absolutely must remain
inviolable. There is talk of increasing the retirement age as well
as further taxing benefits or creating a cut-off for any benefit at all
to those who can support themselves. In my view, these so-called
"solutions" are unconscionable in a society where all have made a contribution.
Beyond that and having said that, SS must also become more useful and
supportive to society. Presently, nearly forty percent of
recipients are held away from poverty levels only by their SS payments.
The claim that Social Security was
never intended to be a sole retirement source carries an element of truth.
It was however, meant to substantially contribute to retirees security
in combination with whatever pension and/or private savings they had.
For many it remains a sole source. Properly endowment-based,
it could far better support that need, allowing the forces of compounded
interest to work in favor of, rather than against the system.
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